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Rabu, 21 Maret 2012

Annual Worth Analysis


An alternative to Present Worth (PW) and Future Worth (FW) analysis is Annual Worth (AW) analysis.

Annual worth analysis will select the same projects that would be selected by PW or FW analysis.

The relationship between AW, PW and FW is:

AW = PW(A/P,i,n) = FW(A/F,i,n)
where n is the number of years in the planning horizon or LCM used to obtain PW or FW.

Annual Worth (AW) analysis is often desirable since an annual worth is often more intuitive to individuals who think in terms of annual cash flows.

Annual Worth (AW) analysis is also desirable since AW has to be calculated for only one life cycle.  It is not necessary to use LCM as we did for the PW and FW analyses. 

When alternative have different lives, the AW method make the following assumptions:
1. The services provided are needed for the indefinite future (forever)
2. The selected alternative will be repeated for succeeding life cycles in exactly the same manner as for the first life cycle.
3. All cash flows will have the same estimated values in every life cycle.
Earlier PW analysis for different-life alternatives:

Service Example: You are evaluating the purchase of a new or used cars that needs to last you for 10 years. i = 8%.
New Car Used Car
Purchase Price $20,000 $10,000
Annual Maint. $     750 $  1,000
Resale Value $  4,000 $  4,000
Life, years         10           5

PW (LCM 10) -$23,180 -$18,941

AW(New) = -$20,000(A/P,8%,10) - $750 + $4000(A/F,8%,10) = -$3454.48
AW(Used) = -$10,000(A/P,8%,5) - $1000 + $4000(A/F,8%,5) = -$2822.76

What is AW is calculate using the PW (LCM 10) values?


Capital Recovery
Capital Recovery (CR) is the equivalent annual cost of owning an asset plus the return on the initial investment.
 
Consider an alternative where P is the total of all initial investments, A is the equivalent of all annual cash flows (cost only in a service project, receipts and costs in revenue projects), and S is the salvage value.

Then the relationship between CR and AW is:
AW = CR + A

So that CR = -[P(A/P,i,n) - S(A/F,i,n)].

Example: You are evaluating the purchase of a two income properties.  You expect a MARR of 15%.  What is the Annual Worth?
      $75K Home       
Purchase Price       $15,000
Annual Maint. $  6,000
Annual Income $  7,500
Resale (after 
Expenses)   $90,000
Life, years         15

CR = -$15,000(A/P,15%,15) + $90,000(A/F,15%,15) = -$673.50
(in otherwords, you must make $673.50 per year to make your MARR or to recover your capital at 15% interest)

A = $1,500 

AW = CR + A = $826.50
Evaluation Alternative Using AW
To evaluate alternatives:

First, calculate the AW at the MARR. For –

One alternative: If AW > 0, then the MARR is met or exceeded.

Two or more alternatives:  Choose the project with lowest cost AW value (service projects) of highest income (revenue projects) AW value.

Service Example: You are evaluating the purchase of a new or used cars that needs to last you for 10 years. MARR = 8%.
New Car Used Car
Purchase Price $20,000 $10,000
Annual Maint. $     750 $  1,000
Resale Value $ 4,000 $  4,000
Life, years        10 5

AW(new) = -$20,000(A/P,8%,10) -$750 + $4000(A/F,8%,10)
AW(new) = -$3454.48
AW(used) = -$10,000(A/P,8%,5) - $1000 + $4000(A/F,8%,5)
AW(used) = -$2822.76


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